B BullDozer

Premature NCD Mortality

Probability of dying between ages 30 and 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease, both sexes. SDG 3.4.1. WHO estimate, modelled where death registration is incomplete.

Source: WHO Global Health Observatory Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO Unit: % Parsed: 2026-09-28 Open source โ†—

Method: WHO Global Health Observatory; latest available year per country (varies); both sexes, modelled estimates.

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Avg (2021)
18.9%
single period
Improving
0
of 185 tracked
Declining
0
period over period
Stable
185
ยฑ0.5pp band

Probability of dying at 30โ€“70 from the four main NCDs

Interactive โ€” choose a period, search a country, switch between bars, table and map.

azenha.ai/bulldozer

Premature NCD Mortality โ€” full ranking

Every entity in this dataset, in HTML. The interactive panel above shows the same numbers; this is the one that survives without JavaScript.

185 entities, 2021. Highest first.
#EntityProbability of dying at 30โ€“70 from the four main NCDs
1๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Kiribati44.1%
2๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ง Solomon Islands40.6%
3๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Micronesia, Fed. Sts.40.5%
4๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฏ Fiji37.9%
5๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡บ Vanuatu36.8%
6๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ธ Lesotho36.3%
7๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ Afghanistan32.7%
8๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡ธ Samoa32.3%
9๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Eswatini32.3%
10๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ Philippines31.9%
11๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡น Haiti31.6%
12๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ผ Zimbabwe31.2%
13๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ซ Central African Republic30.8%
14๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฌ Papua New Guinea28.5%
15๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด Somalia27.6%
16๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ท Eritrea27.3%
17๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ด Tonga26.9%
18๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Mozambique26.6%
19๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Lao26.5%
20๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ Mongolia26.3%
21๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt26%
22๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Madagascar25.9%
23๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช Yemen25.8%
24๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฒ Turkmenistan25.7%
25๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria25.6%
26๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Pakistan25.5%
27๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡พ Guyana25.4%
28๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฌ Togo25.4%
29๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ผ Guinea-Bissau25.3%
30๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Congo, Dem. Rep.25.1%
31๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ผ Malawi24.9%
32๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine24.8%
33๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ Burundi24.8%
34๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ด Angola24.7%
35๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Moldova24.7%
36๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Uzbekistan24.6%
37๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Cameroon24.3%
38๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Myanmar24%
39๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Sierra Leone23.9%
40๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus23.8%
41๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต North Korea23.7%
42๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India23.6%
43๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Zambia23.6%
44๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡จ St. Vincent and the Grenadines23.6%
45๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ณ Guinea23.6%
46๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ Burkina Faso23.4%
47๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฉ Chad23.4%
48๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Namibia23.1%
49๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Mali23%
50๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Cote d'Ivoire22.7%
51๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia22.7%
52๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraq22.7%
53๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa22.7%
54๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญ Cambodia22.6%
55๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia22.4%
56๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ South Sudan22.4%
57๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ญ Ghana22.2%
58๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Georgia22.1%
59๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ท Liberia22%
60๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Morocco22%
61๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia21.9%
62๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Gambia21.8%
63๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Hungary21.7%
64๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡บ Mauritius21.7%
65๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania21.5%
66๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Uganda21.5%
67๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ Senegal21.4%
68๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ Syria21.3%
69๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Sudan21.2%
70๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Congo, Rep.21.2%
71๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan21.2%
72๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฏ Benin20.8%
73๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia20.7%
74๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia20.6%
75๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ Djibouti20.6%
76๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ธ Bahamas20.4%
77๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ถ Equatorial Guinea20.3%
78๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡น Trinidad and Tobago20.3%
79๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Jamaica20.2%
80๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Comoros20.2%
81๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช Niger20.2%
82๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam20.1%
83๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฑ Timor-Leste20.1%
84๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ผ Rwanda20%
85๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ด Bolivia19.9%
86๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia19.9%
87๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡พ Libya19.8%
88๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania19.8%
89๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia19.6%
90๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡น Sao Tome and Principe19.5%
91๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต Nepal19.4%
92๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ผ Botswana19%
93๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Kyrgyz Republic18.8%
94๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฟ Tanzania18.8%
95๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช Venezuela18.7%
96๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ท Mauritania18.7%
97๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท Suriname18.7%
98๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Palestine18.3%
99๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Gabon18.1%
100๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฏ Tajikistan18.1%
101๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh18.1%
102๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro18%
103๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Kenya18%
104๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ณ Honduras17.8%
105๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Nigeria17.7%
106๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ Cuba17.6%
107๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan17.4%
108๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พ Uruguay17.4%
109๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ด Dominican Republic17.4%
110๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia and Herzegovina17.2%
111๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ป Cape Verde17.2%
112๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Grenada17.1%
113๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland17%
114๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡น Ethiopia16.8%
115๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovak Republic16.6%
116๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico16.3%
117๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พ Paraguay16.1%
118๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia15.9%
119๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China15.9%
120๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡น Bhutan15.9%
121๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Seychelles15.6%
122๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡จ St. Lucia15.5%
123๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia15.5%
124๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฟ Belize15.4%
125๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey15.4%
126๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ณ Brunei14.9%
127๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ Bahrain14.8%
128๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น Guatemala14.6%
129๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ Oman14.6%
130๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand14.5%
131๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil14.5%
132๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic14.2%
133๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ง Barbados14%
134๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Sri Lanka13.9%
135๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran13.9%
136๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA13.7%
137๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia13.6%
138๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina13.4%
139๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Algeria13.3%
140๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ Ecuador13.2%
141๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ Tunisia13%
142๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Nicaragua12.6%
143๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป El Salvador12.6%
144๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ช Peru12.3%
145๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Qatar12.1%
146๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Antigua and Barbuda12.1%
147๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece12%
148๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Lebanon11.9%
149๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany11.6%
150๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช UAE11.6%
151๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด Jordan11.6%
152๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia11.6%
153๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK11%
154๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆ Panama10.9%
155๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark10.7%
156๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal10.5%
157๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ New Zealand10.3%
158๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด Colombia10.3%
159๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore10.3%
160๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France10.2%
161๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ท Puerto Rico10.1%
162๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania10%
163๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria9.9%
164๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ท Costa Rica9.9%
165๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands9.9%
166๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta9.8%
167๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada9.7%
168๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland9.6%
169๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland9.6%
170๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Chile9.4%
171๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain9.3%
172๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ Kuwait9.3%
173๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium9.2%
174๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy9.1%
175๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ป Maldives9%
176๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus8.5%
177๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iceland8.5%
178๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia8.3%
179๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan8%
180๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden7.9%
181๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg7.8%
182๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway7.8%
183๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel7.6%
184๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland7.5%
185๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea6.9%

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